EconomicGreenfield

The St. Louis Fed’s Financial Stress Index (STLFSI4) is one index that is supposed to measure stress in the financial system. Its reading as...

There are a variety of economic models that are supposed to predict the probabilities of recession. While I don’t agree with the methodologi...

My overall analysis indicates a continuing elevated and growing level of financial danger which contains many worldwide and U.S.-specific “s...

Throughout this site there are many discussions of economic indicators.  This post is the latest in a series of posts indicating facets of  ...

Various surveys, economic growth projections, and market risk indicators indicate sustained economic growth and financial stability for the ...

For reference, below is a chart of the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measures – Deflation Probability [FRED STLPPMDEF] through March 2025. W...

In the last post (“4th Quarter 2024 Corporate Profits“) I displayed, for reference purposes, a long-term chart depicting Corporate Profits A...

Today’s (March 27, 2025) GDP release (Q4 2024, Third Estimate) was accompanied by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) Corporate Profits re...