I ran across the following chart from chartoftheday.com, and found it interesting:
http://www.chartoftheday.com/20090703.htm?T
As one can see, the current degree of job losses is rather atypical.
I would also like to highlight another issue as well. From a historical perspective, this (purported) recession, that the NBER has classified as having started in December 2007, is getting "long in the tooth" from a historical perspective. The following blog post does a good job of summarizing how long recessions typically last:
http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2009/06/update-what-is-depression.html
As one can see, from a historical standpoint the severity of the job losses, as well as the length of this (purported) recession are atypical. Both have persevered in the face of very large amounts of intervention, including stimulus efforts.
As I have written about previously, the above is yet more evidence that we may well be in a "new (economic) environment" - with the associated implications...
SPX at 883.05 as this post is written
Copyright 2009 by Ted Kavadas
No comments:
Post a Comment