The following chart is from the CalculatedRisk post of June 6, 2019 titled “Fed’s Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Increased in Q1.” It depicts Total Household Net Worth as a Percent of GDP. The underlying data is from the Federal Reserve’s Z.1 report, “Financial Accounts of the United States“:
(click on chart to enlarge image)
As seen in the above-referenced CalculatedRisk post:
According to the Fed, household net worth increased in Q1 2019 to $108.6 trillion, from $104.0 trillion in Q4 2018.The Fed estimated that the value of household real estate increased to $26.1 trillion in Q1. The value of household real estate is now above the bubble peak in early 2006 – but not adjusted for inflation, and this also includes new construction.
As I have written in previous posts concerning this Household Net Worth (as a percent of GDP) topic:
As one can see, the first outsized peak was in 2000, and attained after the stock market bull market / stock market bubbles and economic strength. The second outsized peak was in 2007, right near the peak of the housing bubble as well as near the stock market peak.
also:
I could extensively write about various interpretations that can be made from this chart. One way this chart can be interpreted is a gauge of “what’s in it for me?” as far as the aggregated wealth citizens are gleaning from economic activity, as measured compared to GDP.
_____
The Special Note summarizes my overall thoughts about our economic situation
SPX at 2835.30 as this post is written
No comments:
Post a Comment