Durable Goods New Orders – Long-Term Charts Through December 2022

Many people place emphasis on Durable Goods New Orders as a prominent economic indicator and/or leading economic indicator.

For reference, below are two charts depicting this measure.

First, from the St. Louis Fed site (FRED), a chart through December 2022, updated on January 26, 2023. This value is $286,885 ($ Millions):

(click on charts to enlarge images)

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Second, here is the chart depicting this measure on a “Percent Change from a Year Ago” basis, with a last value of 11.9%:

Data Source: FRED, Federal Reserve Economic Data, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis: Manufacturers’ New Orders:  Durable Goods [DGORDER]; U.S. Department of Commerce: Census Bureau; accessed January 26, 2023; 
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/DGORDER

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I post various indicators and indices because I believe they should be carefully monitored.  However, as those familiar with this site are aware, I do not necessarily agree with what they depict or imply.

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The Special Note summarizes my overall thoughts about our economic situation

SPX at 4016.22 as this post is written