The following estimates are from Exhibit 24 of the “S&P500 Earnings Scorecard” (pdf) of February 19, 2020, and represent an aggregation of individual S&P500 component “bottom up” analyst forecasts. For reference, the Year 2014 value is $118.78/share; the Year 2015 value is $117.46; the Year 2016 value is $118.10/share; the Year 2017 value is $132.00/share; and the Year 2018 value is $161.93:
Year 2019 estimate:
$162.83/share
Year 2020 estimate:
$175.91/share
Year 2021 estimate:
$195.70/share
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I post various economic forecasts because I believe they should be carefully monitored. However, as those familiar with this site are aware, I do not agree with many of the consensus estimates and much of the commentary in these forecast surveys.
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The Special Note summarizes my overall thoughts about our economic situation
SPX at 3390.15 as this post is written
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